The Web of Markets
Was the level higher than it was H sessions earlier, and did that match the direction published that morning? H is 20 trading days (weekdays; exchange holidays are not removed) for interest rates, financials, commodities, and currencies, and 20 calendar days for crypto. A higher level is up. An unchanged or lower level is down. Every settled series-day is correct or incorrect. Dollar-up calls are flipped for EURUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, CADUSD, and BRLUSD. Settled today is the series-days whose horizon closed on this as-of. Through N is every settled series-day. The score is days correct divided by days settled. Interest rates are scored on their own, then pooled into the overall figure.
Settled today · 2026-10-03
Nothing settled today
Through N
Overall — N=0. Waiting on the horizon: 828.
| Sleeve | Days correct | N | Waiting | Question |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Rates | — | 0 | 36 | Were yields higher than 20 trading days ago? |
| Financial | — | 0 | 252 | Were prices higher than 20 trading days ago? |
| Commodity | — | 0 | 252 | Were prices higher than 20 trading days ago? |
| Currency | — | 0 | 144 | Was the quote higher than 20 trading days ago? |
| Crypto | — | 0 | 144 | Was the level higher than 20 calendar days ago? |
Series
Interest Rates
- 10-year yield (^TNX)
- 13-week bill (^IRX)
Financial
- S&P 500 (SPY)
- Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
- Russell 2000 (IWM)
- Financials (XLF)
- Technology (XLK)
- Energy (XLE)
- Health care (XLV)
- Consumer staples (XLP)
- Utilities (XLU)
- NVIDIA (NVDA)
- AMD (AMD)
- TSMC (TSM)
- Alphabet (GOOGL)
- Microsoft (MSFT)
Commodity
- Lithium (ALB)
- Copper (HG=F)
- Natural gas (NG=F)
- Rare earths (REMX)
- Uranium (URA)
- Gold (GC=F)
- Silver (SI=F)
- Crude oil (CL=F)
- Soybeans (ZS=F)
- Corn (ZC=F)
- Wheat (ZW=F)
- Coffee (KC=F)
- Sugar (SB=F)
- Broad commodities (PDBC)
Currency
- EUR/USD (EURUSD=X) · dollar-up is a falling quote
- USD/JPY (USDJPY=X)
- USD/CNY (CNY=X)
- AUD/USD (AUDUSD=X) · dollar-up is a falling quote
- CAD/USD (CADUSD=X) · dollar-up is a falling quote
- NZD/USD (NZDUSD=X) · dollar-up is a falling quote
- BRL/USD (BRLUSD=X) · dollar-up is a falling quote
- US dollar index (UUP)
Crypto
- Bitcoin (BTC-USD)
- Ethereum (ETH-USD)
- Solana (SOL-USD)
- Avalanche (AVAX-USD)
- Ripple (XRP-USD)
- Chainlink (LINK-USD)
- Polkadot (DOT-USD)
- Cardano (ADA-USD)