The Silk Report Dashboard

01:17 · v1.0
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE

Market Situation

Interest Rates ↗
easing policy expectations with term premium rising
Financial →
small caps outperforming amid rotation
Commodity ↗
industrial metals strength suggesting demand recovery
Currency ↘
dollar weakness across majors
Crypto →
extended decline suggesting mean reversion opportunity

Signals

0 Critical
5 Alert
5 Watch
Click row for details
Asset Price Z-Score Window Level Trade
MSFT $404.37 -2.89σ 252d alert SHORT
BTC-USD $66991.97 -2.73σ 252d alert SHORT
TSM $374.09 +2.73σ 30d alert LONG
CNY=X $6.91 -2.58σ 252d alert SHORT
ALB $175.43 +2.01σ 252d alert LONG
GOOGL * $310.96 -1.86σ 30d watch SHORT
HG=F $5.95 +1.81σ 252d watch LONG
REMX $91.92 +1.80σ 252d watch LONG
EURUSD=X $1.19 +1.65σ 252d watch LONG
IWM $264.95 +1.62σ 252d watch LONG

Opportunities

3 Primary 3 Secondary 0 Tertiary
PRIMARY
Bitcoin: Mean reversion opportunity as extreme moves typically reverse within 6 days
75%
PRIMARY
Microsoft: Mean reversion play as ALERT level signals show reversal tendency
75%
PRIMARY
Taiwan Semiconductor: Momentum continuation possible but mean reversion likely within 6 days
75%
SECONDARY
Industrial Metals Rally: Lithium (+2.01σ), copper (+1.81σ), and rare earths (+1.80σ) showing coordinated strength suggesting industrial demand recovery
42%
SECONDARY
Dollar Weakness Continuation: EUR/USD (+1.65σ), USD/CNY (-2.58σ) signals suggest Fed easing expectations driving dollar lower
42%
SECONDARY
Small Cap Outperformance: IWM (+1.62σ) suggests domestic focus amid policy uncertainty
46%

Performance Scorecard

Backtest (46d):111/240, 46%, +137.6%
Recent (7d):21/56, 38%, +61.8%