The Silk Report Dashboard

03:47 · v1.0
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE

Market Situation

Interest Rates ↗
policy easing with term premium rising
Financial ↘
tech weakness driving broader risk-off
Commodity →
industrial metals under pressure, energy diverging
Currency ↘
dollar weakness accelerating
Crypto →
risk asset selling pressure intensifying

Signals

0 Critical
7 Alert
5 Watch
Click row for details
Asset Price Z-Score Window Level Trade
MSFT * $401.84 -2.94σ 252d alert SHORT
BTC-USD * $66221.84 -2.74σ 252d alert SHORT
CNY=X * $6.91 -2.51σ 252d alert SHORT
TSM * $368.10 +2.23σ 252d alert LONG
USDJPY=X * $153.27 -2.12σ 60d alert SHORT
^TNX * $4.10 -2.10σ 30d alert SHORT
QQQ * $600.64 -2.07σ 30d alert SHORT
GOOGL $309.00 -1.99σ 30d watch SHORT
SPY * $681.27 -1.66σ 30d watch SHORT
ALB * $158.93 +1.56σ 252d watch LONG
EURUSD=X * $1.19 +1.55σ 252d watch LONG
REMX * $87.20 +1.51σ 252d watch LONG

Opportunities

3 Primary 3 Secondary 0 Tertiary
PRIMARY
TSMC: Long position with 51% accuracy on long signals [n=317]
51%
PRIMARY
Bitcoin: Mean reversion opportunity with 76% probability within 6 days [n=271]
76%
PRIMARY
10Y Treasury: Long duration with 76% mean reversion probability [n=271]
76%
SECONDARY
Tech sector mean reversion: MSFT -2.94σ and QQQ -2.07σ ALERT signals suggest oversold conditions with 76% mean reversion probability [n=271]
65%
SECONDARY
Dollar weakness continuation: USD/JPY -2.12σ and USD/CNY -2.51σ ALERT signals indicate extended dollar decline with 48% short signal accuracy [n=156]
41%
SECONDARY
Industrial metals pressure: Copper -4.0% 5d and lithium -10.1% 30d suggest demand concerns with 55-65% continuation probability [uncalibrated]
51%

Performance Scorecard

Backtest (46d):99/209, 47%, +135.2%
Recent (7d):21/50, 42%, +65.2%