The Silk Report Dashboard

2026-02-15 08:26 · v1.0
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE

Market Situation

Interest Rates ↗
policy easing expectations with term premium rising
Financial ↘
large-cap weakness vs small-cap resilience
Commodity →
mixed industrial signals
Currency ↘
dollar weakness accelerating
Crypto ↘
risk-off sentiment in digital assets

Signals

0 Critical
7 Alert
4 Watch
Click row for details
Asset Price Z-Score Window Level Trade
MSFT * $401.32 -2.94σ 252d alert SHORT
^TNX * $4.06 -2.66σ 30d alert SHORT
CNY=X * $6.90 -2.61σ 252d alert SHORT
BTC-USD * $69767.62 -2.40σ 252d alert SHORT
USDJPY=X * $152.82 -2.30σ 60d alert SHORT
GOOGL $305.72 -2.21σ 30d alert SHORT
TSM * $366.36 +2.17σ 252d alert LONG
QQQ * $601.92 -1.77σ 30d watch SHORT
ALB * $166.35 +1.72σ 252d watch LONG
REMX * $89.70 +1.63σ 252d watch LONG
SPY * $681.75 -1.56σ 30d watch SHORT

Opportunities

3 Primary 3 Secondary 0 Tertiary
PRIMARY
Bitcoin: Long position targeting mean reversion with 79% probability [n=575]
79%
PRIMARY
Microsoft: Long position on mean reversion with 79% probability [n=575]
79%
PRIMARY
USD/JPY: Long USD/JPY on mean reversion with 79% probability [n=575]
79%
SECONDARY
Dollar Weakness Acceleration: USD/JPY and USD/CNY both at -2.61σ levels suggest continued dollar decline with mean reversion probability 79% [n=575]
67%
SECONDARY
Large Cap Tech Correction: MSFT -2.94σ, GOOGL -2.21σ signals suggest continued weakness with short signal accuracy 46% [n=303]
39%
SECONDARY
Commodity Sector Rotation: TSM +2.17σ, rare earths +1.63σ suggest materials strength with long signal accuracy 50% [n=719]
42%

Performance Scorecard

Backtest (89d):217/467, 46%, +152.6%
Recent (7d):21/50, 42%, +65.2%