The Silk Dashboard

2026-03-20 03:20 · v1.0
WIDE CONFIDENCE

Market Situation

Interest Rates
rising long rates pressuring equity valuations
Financial
tech weakness amid rate pressure
Commodity
extreme divergence between energy/industrial metals
Currency
dollar weakness against majors but yuan stress continues
Crypto
momentum deteriorating from recent highs

Signals

2 Critical
2 Alert
3 Watch
Click row for details
Asset Price Z-Score Window Level Trade
PDBC $17.22 +3.59σ 252d critical SHORT
HG=F $5.43 -3.05σ 30d critical LONG
MSFT $389.02 -2.27σ 252d alert SHORT
CNY=X $6.87 -2.02σ 252d alert SHORT
REMX * $82.95 -1.84σ 30d watch SHORT
IWM $247.63 -1.62σ 60d watch SHORT
BTC-USD $69912.79 -1.57σ 252d watch SHORT

Opportunities

3 Primary 3 Secondary 2 Tertiary
PRIMARY
Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity (PDBC): Short PDBC targeting reversion from statistical extreme
77%
PRIMARY
Copper Futures (HG=F): Long copper targeting mean reversion from extreme oversold
77%
PRIMARY
Microsoft (MSFT): Avoid or short MSFT as momentum deteriorates
57%
SECONDARY
Geopolitical Risk Premium Expansion: Middle East tensions near Strait of Hormuz and Ukraine-Russia border escalation driving energy supply concerns and risk-off sentiment
55%
SECONDARY
Rising Long-Term Rates Impact: 10Y Treasury up 5% over 30 days pressuring equity valuations, particularly growth/tech sectors
64%
SECONDARY
Tech Sector Momentum Breakdown: MSFT -2.27σ DOWN signals potential rotation out of mega-cap tech amid rate sensitivity
48%
TERTIARY
Real-time visualization platform that maps commodity price movements as thermal overlays on global trade route maps, showing 'hot zones' of price volatility and supply chain stress points. Corporate procurement teams and logistics companies pay subscription fees to identify alternative sourcing routes and hedge timing based on these visual heat signatures.
50%
TERTIARY
A decision-support platform for industries reliant on copper, integrating real-time market data with ecological insights on resource use and capacity management. It reduces cognitive load by offering automated heuristic-based suggestions for alternative materials or process adjustments to maintain operational stability.
46%

Performance Scorecard

Backtest (1042d):541/1358, 40%, +374.7%
Recent (7d):5/10, 50%, +11.8%