Model Portfolio

2026-09-29 — Markets whisper. The web waits.
PAPER

Equal-weight QQQ + GLD + BTC

Rebalanced every 20 trading days. Model buy and hold portfolio. See design doc.

go-live 2026-09-032018-01-022026-09-29
Backtest — in-sample, through 2026-09-02Live / paper — out-of-sample, from 2026-09-03SPY buy-and-hold (reference)
NAV$9,964.22
Since inception-0.36%
Since last rebalance-0.36%
CAGR (live)—
Max DD (live)—
Sharpe (live)—
Days since rebalance18 / 20

Legs

SymbolBrokerQtyPriceValueTargetActualDrift
QQQalpaca4.6465$737.93$3,428.7933.33%34.41%+1.1pp
GLDalpaca8.0843$382.89$3,095.4033.33%31.07%-2.3pp
BTC-USDcoinbase0.0412$83,526.25$3,440.0333.33%34.52%+1.2pp

Backtest reference (the prior)

Equal-weight SPX+Gold+BTC, monthly rebal, 2018–2025: CAGR 23.68%, Sharpe 0.97, max drawdown -41.10%. Research doc →

SPY buy-and-hold, same window (2018-01-01 – 2026-09-02): CAGR 14.57%, Sharpe 0.81, max drawdown -33.72%. The plain baseline every allocation call — equal-weight or otherwise — has to beat.